Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.034738 0.040831 0.047149 0.054151 0.061656 0.069427 0.078049
2025-12-21 0.025528 0.034198 0.043741 0.054848 0.067262 0.080575 0.095803
2025-12-28 0.021755 0.032338 0.044525 0.059197 0.076043 0.094498 0.115985
2026-01-04 0.016135 0.027271 0.040792 0.057680 0.077613 0.099910 0.126308
2026-01-11 0.013008 0.024704 0.039566 0.058682 0.081719 0.107883 0.139226
2026-01-18 0.010273 0.022172 0.038025 0.059005 0.084783 0.114461 0.150382
2026-01-25 0.008149 0.020116 0.036826 0.059530 0.087909 0.120969 0.161334
2026-02-01 0.006234 0.018000 0.035302 0.059453 0.090152 0.126321 0.170846
2026-02-08 0.004040 0.014890 0.032065 0.056903 0.089150 0.127665 0.175544
2026-02-15 0.002741 0.012970 0.030307 0.056133 0.090235 0.131402 0.182961
2026-02-22 0.002000 0.011927 0.029737 0.056883 0.093179 0.137334 0.192931
2026-03-01 0.001480 0.011189 0.029554 0.058107 0.096689 0.143925 0.203660
2026-03-08 0.001133 0.010813 0.030006 0.060345 0.101692 0.152574 0.217143
2026-03-15 0.000694 0.009894 0.029479 0.061165 0.104857 0.158995 0.228015
2026-03-22 0.000689 0.010489 0.031567 0.065777 0.113024 0.171622 0.246374
2026-03-29 0.000234 0.008781 0.029458 0.064177 0.112919 0.173944 0.252279
2026-04-05 0.000090 0.008145 0.029189 0.065236 0.116315 0.180600 0.263402
2026-04-12 0.000008 0.007329 0.028480 0.065577 0.118708 0.185975 0.272951
2026-04-19 NaN 0.006649 0.027944 0.066132 0.121357 0.191648 0.282846
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005844 0.027038 0.066050 0.123097 0.196142 0.291276
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004441 0.024568 0.063356 0.121138 0.195857 0.293774
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003659 0.023326 0.062542 0.121730 0.198786 0.300191
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003307 0.023081 0.063335 0.124559 0.204578 0.310139